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INTU

IntuitB
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Strong Q3 execution, raised FY26 revenue guidance, double-digit Global Business Solutions growth, and the AI-driven expert-platform strategy support a potential recovery from depressed levels.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +16.3.
What can break
AI competition could pressure Intuit's differentiation, pricing, or product adoption.
Momentum
41
Value
62
Sentiment
74
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $350.00 · Bull $410.00 · Bear $255.00Analysis 2026-08-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-25 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $397.41
Why
Momentum41 · Δ7d -5.4
Value62 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment74 · Δ7d +16.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +16.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • AI competition could pressure Intuit's differentiation, pricing, or product adoption.
  • Credit Karma is sensitive to consumer-credit conditions and tighter lending.
  • The stock has already rebounded sharply from a weak base, while recent downgrade commentary and concerns about AI competition create risk that the raised outlook is not enough to sustain the rerating.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-20

Q3 FY26 results and raised FY26 revenue guidance

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
41
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.4
Δ21d
-19.4
Value
62
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.4
Sentiment
74
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+16.3
Δ21d
+14.3
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 41.1 / Value 62.3 / Sentiment 74.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$410.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$350.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$255.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-25
Market Cap
$91.8B
Beta
1.25
Shares Out
273.54M
P/E (TTM)
43.4
P/S (TTM)
9.08
P/FCF (TTM)
34.46
Rev YoY
+10.4%
EPS YoY
+11.0%
Gross Margin
+77.6%
Op Margin
+27.5%
Net Debt
$2.09B
Current Ratio
1.45
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data