B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$39.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
INTG
InterGroupDNasdaq / Real Estate Management & Development
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Fiscal 2026 hotel RevPAR and segment-income gains suggest stronger operating leverage if San Francisco business-travel and convention demand persists. Management remains cautiously optimistic, not firmly guided to continued growth.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.3.
What can break
Fiscal 2026 GAAP income included a $3.508 million property-sale gain, and reported EBITDA retains securities and property-sale gains. [#PR-2026-09-29]
Momentum
40
Value
50
Sentiment
50
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $34.00 · Bull $39.00 · Bear $25.00Analysis 2026-10-13; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum40 · Δ7d -23.9
Value50 · Δ7d +0.3
Sentiment50 · Δ7d -35.6
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.3.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Fiscal 2026 GAAP income included a $3.508 million property-sale gain, and reported EBITDA retains securities and property-sale gains. [#PR-2026-09-29]
- • Hotel exposure is concentrated in San Francisco business-travel and convention demand, and the hotel was closed July 31–August 9 during bridge removal. [#PR-2026-09-29]
- • The profit reversal is less compelling after considering the property-sale and securities gains, lower operating cash flow, higher hotel expenses, and conditional debt extension.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-30
Hotel performance must carry into the next reporting period
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
40
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-23.9
Δ21d
-53.5
Value
50
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
50
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-35.6
Δ21d
+4.7
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 40.1 / Value 49.9 / Sentiment 50.1
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-13. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$34.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$25.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$70.59M
Beta
0.21
Shares Out
2.15M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
43.0
P/S (TTM)
0.83
P/FCF (TTM)
37.63
Rev YoY
+21.1%
EPS YoY
-179.3%
Gross Margin
+18.3%
Op Margin
+14.4%
Net Debt
$180.98M
Current Ratio
0.80
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data