B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$61.95
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
INTC
IntelFNasdaq / Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Bull case depends on timely node ramps, sustained server demand and visible yield improvement—combining to drive margin expansion and justify a material multiple re-rating toward the high‑$50s/low‑$60s.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-07.
What can break
Competitive share loss to AMD/NVIDIA
Momentum
58
Value
50
Sentiment
17
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $45.07 · Bull $61.95 · Bear $30.98Analysis 2026-01-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-08
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $120.81
Why
Momentum58 · Δ7d +12.7
Value50 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment17 · Δ7d -1.6
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-07.
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Competitive share loss to AMD/NVIDIA
- • Foundry / process execution delays
- • Bear case reflects prolonged node/yield setbacks, weaker PC/server cycles or aggressive pricing by competitors that compress margins and push consensus estimates materially lower toward the low‑$30s.
Catalyst clock
2026-04-24
Next quarterly earnings report
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
58
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+12.7
Δ21d
+26.1
Value
50
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+5.7
Sentiment
17
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.6
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 58.2 / Value 50.1 / Sentiment 17.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-24. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$45.07
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$30.98
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$522B
Beta
1.38
Shares Out
5.04B
P/E (TTM)
3710.7
P/S (TTM)
3.51
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
1822.01
Rev YoY
+25.4%
EPS YoY
+223.6%
Gross Margin
+39.0%
Op Margin
+8.0%
Net Debt
$9.56B
Current Ratio
1.60
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data