RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

INSE

Inspired EntertainmentA
Nasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
Record 45% Adjusted EBITDA margin, sequential revenue and EBITDA growth, Interactive revenue growth, debt repayment, and a reiterated FY2026 EBITDA target support a constructive operating case [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Debt reduction and cash-flow conversion targets may be sensitive to operating performance and capital requirements.
Momentum
12
Value
67
Sentiment
83
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $6.50 · Bull $8.50 · Bear $3.80Analysis 2026-09-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $12.67
Why
Momentum12 · Δ7d -
Value67 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment83 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Debt reduction and cash-flow conversion targets may be sensitive to operating performance and capital requirements.
  • • Higher UK remote gaming duty may continue to pressure revenue and EBITDA despite market-share gains [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05].
  • • Reported revenue declined year over year and stored earnings context indicates a consensus miss and negative market reaction, with UK remote gaming duty pressure a key headwind [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-14].

Catalyst clock

2026-08-05

Q2 earnings reset: margin strength offset by revenue pressure

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
12
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
67
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.8
Sentiment
83
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 12.0 / Value 66.8 / Sentiment 83.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-09. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$8.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$6.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$3.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$158.94M
Beta
1.26
Shares Out
26.36M
P/E (TTM)
5.3
P/S (TTM)
0.81
P/FCF (TTM)
13.33
Rev YoY
-24.3%
EPS YoY
-102.5%
Gross Margin
+57.2%
Op Margin
+16.6%
Net Debt
$329M
Current Ratio
2.27
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data