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INFY

InfosysC
NYSE / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q1 showed resilient 21.1% operating margin, $955 million of free cash flow, 8.2% AI revenue contribution and $3.6 billion of large-deal TCV. The internal CEO succession plan could support continuity, while stronger conversion of AI-led work would provide upside [#IR-20260723-Q1] [#PR-20260723-CEO].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
News driver: India's Infosys falls after cutting revenue growth guidance for fiscal 2027.
What can break
A client-program termination and slower conversion of large deals create execution and visibility risk.
Momentum
52
Value
63
Sentiment
47
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $12.00 · Bull $13.50 · Bear $9.00Analysis 2026-09-10; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $12.14
Why
Momentum52 · Δ7d +57.4
Value63 · Δ7d +0.6
Sentiment47 · Δ7d -0.6
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • News driver: India's Infosys falls after cutting revenue growth guidance for fiscal 2027.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • A client-program termination and slower conversion of large deals create execution and visibility risk.
  • • AI-led productivity and intense competition may create pricing deflation and limit revenue growth.
  • • Q1 revenue and adjusted EPS missed the cited consensus estimates, guidance was narrowed from 1.5%-3.5% to 1.5%-3.0%, and external coverage cited soft volumes, client-program termination, AI-driven pricing pressure and slower revenue conversion.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-10

Growth reset and AI pricing pressure remain near-term overhangs

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
52
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+57.4
Δ21d
+61.5
Value
63
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.6
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
47
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.6
Δ21d
-19.5
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 52.3 / Value 63.0 / Sentiment 47.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-10. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$13.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$12.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$9.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$47.2B
Beta
0.84
Shares Out
4.06B
P/E (TTM)
23.7
P/S (TTM)
3.83
P/FCF (TTM)
38.95
Rev YoY
+3.1%
EPS YoY
+3.9%
Gross Margin
+30.3%
Op Margin
+20.7%
Net Debt
-$3.07B
Current Ratio
1.84
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data