B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$6.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
IMPP
Imperial PetroleumANasdaq / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Fleet growth, stronger tanker and dry-bulk rates, and substantial liquidity could support earnings and a re-rating if new vessels earn durable returns [#PR-2026-09-10] (company results release filed with the SEC).
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.
What can break
Drydocking and off-hire could continue to depress utilization; Q2 drydocking costs rose to $7.5 million [#PR-2026-09-10] (company results release filed with the SEC).
Momentum
35
Value
74
Sentiment
55
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $4.80 · Bull $6.25 · Bear $3.50Analysis 2026-10-25; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-25 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $9.00
Why
Momentum35 · Δ7d -12.0
Value74 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment55 · Δ7d -2.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Drydocking and off-hire could continue to depress utilization; Q2 drydocking costs rose to $7.5 million [#PR-2026-09-10] (company results release filed with the SEC).
- • Spot-rate reversals, bunker costs and geopolitical route disruptions could compress earnings [#PR-2026-09-10] (company results release filed with the SEC).
- • Q2 benefited from more vessels and stronger rates, while drydock downtime, higher voyage costs and volatile spot markets limit confidence in a repeatable run rate [#PR-2026-09-10] (company results release filed with the SEC).
Catalyst clock
2026-12-31
Four contracted vessel deliveries
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
35
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-12.0
Δ21d
-29.6
Value
74
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
55
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.3
Δ21d
-13.9
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 35.4 / Value 74.4 / Sentiment 55.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-25. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$4.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$3.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$226.28M
Beta
1.28
Shares Out
45.62M
P/E (TTM)
3.4
P/S (TTM)
1.23
P/FCF (TTM)
2.67
Rev YoY
+92.3%
EPS YoY
+72.5%
Gross Margin
+34.1%
Op Margin
+30.3%
Net Debt
-$179.05M
Current Ratio
5.77
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data