B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$51.94
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-12-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
IMAX
IMAXDNYSE / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
IMAX captures a stronger-than-expected slate and expands installations internationally; margin leverage and recurring content deals drive revenue growth and multiple expansion.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.5.
What can break
Studio pacing weakens and streaming premium windows compress theatrical exclusivity, reducing system additions and compressing revenues; balance-sheet or exhibitor weakness curtails growth.
Momentum
89
Value
53
Sentiment
36
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $40.81 · Bull $51.94 · Bear $25.97Analysis 2025-12-01; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-12-01 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $56.25
Why
Momentum89 · Δ7d +0.5
Value53 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment36 · Δ7d +1.5
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.5.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Studio pacing weakens and streaming premium windows compress theatrical exclusivity, reducing system additions and compressing revenues; balance-sheet or exhibitor weakness curtails growth.
- • Mixed signals. Wait for cleaner trend confirmation.
Catalyst clock
No dated catalyst is available.
New exhibitor partnerships / tech upgrades
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
89
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.5
Δ21d
-4.8
Value
53
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+1.0
Sentiment
36
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.5
Δ21d
-1.9
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 88.8 / Value 53.1 / Sentiment 36.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2025-12-01. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$40.81
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-12-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$25.97
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-12-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.87B
Beta
0.38
Shares Out
54.84M
P/E (TTM)
50.4
P/S (TTM)
5.14
P/FCF (TTM)
21.49
Rev YoY
+12.2%
EPS YoY
+33.5%
Gross Margin
+57.7%
Op Margin
+22.8%
Net Debt
$138.51M
Current Ratio
2.09
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data