B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$4.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
IHRT
iHeartMediaBNasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Digital audio, podcasting and programmatic monetization are growing faster than the legacy business, while positive Q2 free cash flow, cost savings and the ABL extension improve the path toward the maintained FY2026 framework.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -31.4.
What can break
FY2026 free-cash-flow and cost-savings targets require execution while year-end net leverage remains in the mid-fives.
Momentum
4
Value
60
Sentiment
77
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $3.05 · Bull $4.25 · Bear $2.10Analysis 2026-08-13; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $3.63
Why
Momentum4 · Δ7d -10.5
Value60 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment77 · Δ7d -31.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -31.4.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • FY2026 free-cash-flow and cost-savings targets require execution while year-end net leverage remains in the mid-fives.
- • Low analyst coverage, unavailable post-print revisions and loose peers make valuation signals fragile.
- • The market may continue to discount the stock because Multiplatform EBITDA fell sharply, consolidated EBITDA declined despite revenue growth, and year-end leverage remains in the mid-fives.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-07
ABL maturity extension reduces immediate refinancing pressure
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
4
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-10.5
Δ21d
-13.1
Value
60
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+11.4
Sentiment
77
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-31.4
Δ21d
-12.6
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 3.8 / Value 59.7 / Sentiment 77.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-13. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$3.05
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$2.10
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$480.11M
Beta
1.71
Shares Out
154.79M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-1.0
P/S (TTM)
0.16
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
12.55
Rev YoY
+4.7%
EPS YoY
-3.5%
Gross Margin
+50.3%
Op Margin
+7.1%
Net Debt
$5.52B
Current Ratio
1.41
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data