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IEP

Icahn EnterprisesA
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The completed Pep Boys sale adds cash, and improved CVI and hedge performance could recover some of the Q2 indicative NAV decline. Management reported a July rebound in its refining investment, but a sustained recovery remains unverified.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29.
What can break
CVI and hedge losses caused most of the $765 million Q2 indicative NAV decline; further mark-to-market losses remain material. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
Momentum
49
Value
48
Sentiment
85
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $5.75 · Bull $8.00 · Bear $3.50Analysis 2026-10-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $12.00
Why
Momentum49 · Δ7d -29.0
Value48 · Δ7d +1.0
Sentiment85 · Δ7d -14.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -14.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • CVI and hedge losses caused most of the $765 million Q2 indicative NAV decline; further mark-to-market losses remain material. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
  • • Post-sale use of Pep Boys proceeds and current indicative NAV are not established by the supplied evidence. [#8-K-2026-08-20]
  • • Q2 net loss attributable to IEP widened to $355 million from $165 million a year earlier, while adjusted EBITDA swung to a $134 million loss from a $40 million gain.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29

First post-Pep Boys sale asset-value update

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
49
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-29.0
Δ21d
-37.8
Value
48
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+1.0
Δ21d
+0.4
Sentiment
85
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-14.0
Δ21d
-22.0
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 48.6 / Value 48.4 / Sentiment 84.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-24. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$8.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$5.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$3.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$4.1B
Beta
0.76
Shares Out
710.92M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-11.1
P/S (TTM)
0.53
P/FCF (TTM)
28.97
Rev YoY
+35.3%
EPS YoY
+75.0%
Gross Margin
+8.9%
Op Margin
+1.2%
Net Debt
$5.06B
Current Ratio
3.36
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data