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IEP

Icahn EnterprisesB
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 weakness may prove temporary if the July refining rebound persists, hedge exposures are better aligned, Pep Boys closes successfully, and CVR or other controlled assets realize value. The continued $0.50 quarterly distribution and stated liquidity provide some support.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-07.
What can break
Further declines in CVR or other controlled-asset values could pressure NAV.
Momentum
53
Value
49
Sentiment
73
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $7.20 · Bull $10.50 · Bear $5.50Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $12.00
Why
Momentum53 · Δ7d +5.4
Value49 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment73 · Δ7d +4.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-07.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Further declines in CVR or other controlled-asset values could pressure NAV.
  • • No reliable post-earnings analyst estimate revision or target change was identified.
  • • Q2 materially weakened the near-term profile: Adjusted EBITDA moved to a $134 million loss from $40 million of positive EBITDA year over year, net loss widened to $355 million from $165 million, and indicative NAV fell to approximately $2.6 billion.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-05

Q2 earnings miss and post-print price reaction

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
53
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+5.4
Δ21d
+12.7
Value
49
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+14.9
Sentiment
73
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.7
Δ21d
+0.4
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 53.5 / Value 48.6 / Sentiment 73.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$10.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$7.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$5.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$5.05B
Beta
0.76
Shares Out
710.92M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-13.6
P/S (TTM)
0.53
P/FCF (TTM)
28.97
Rev YoY
+35.3%
EPS YoY
+75.0%
Gross Margin
+8.9%
Op Margin
+1.2%
Net Debt
$5.06B
Current Ratio
3.36
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data