B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$68.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
IDT
IDTDNYSE / Telecommunication Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The strongest support remains the recent company-reported earnings trajectory: higher-margin growth businesses are scaling, FY2026 EBITDA outlook was raised, and the balance sheet remains net-cash, which supports a constructive medium-term monitoring view.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.9.
What can break
Coverage is relatively thin and peer fit is loose, which raises the risk of sharper price moves around quarterly results and limits confidence in valuation read-throughs from comps.
Momentum
80
Value
53
Sentiment
47
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $61.00 · Bull $68.00 · Bear $48.00Analysis 2026-06-21; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-06-21 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $75.00
Why
Momentum80 · Δ7d +4.2
Value53 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment47 · Δ7d +3.9
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.9.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Coverage is relatively thin and peer fit is loose, which raises the risk of sharper price moves around quarterly results and limits confidence in valuation read-throughs from comps.
- • The June 11, 2026 8-K mainly reflected governance committee changes rather than an operating catalyst, so near-term upside still rests largely on earnings follow-through rather than on a new strategic announcement. [#8-K-2026-06-11]
- • Forward visibility is still only moderate because coverage is thin, the peer set is imperfect, and a meaningful part of the thesis depends on continued execution in NRS, BOSS Money and net2phone rather than on a broad telecom rerating.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-31
Q3 earnings release and raised FY2026 EBITDA outlook
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
80
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.2
Δ21d
-3.3
Value
53
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.7
Sentiment
47
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.9
Δ21d
-3.4
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 79.6 / Value 52.9 / Sentiment 46.5
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-06-21. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$61.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$48.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.65B
Beta
0.80
Shares Out
24.87M
P/E (TTM)
15.9
P/S (TTM)
1.03
P/FCF (TTM)
14.72
Rev YoY
+4.5%
EPS YoY
+1.0%
Gross Margin
+37.4%
Op Margin
+9.1%
Net Debt
-$367.17M
Current Ratio
1.90
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data