B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$68.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
IDT
IDTDNYSE / Telecommunication Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The strongest support remains the recent company-reported earnings trajectory: higher-margin growth businesses are scaling, FY2026 EBITDA outlook was raised, and the balance sheet remains net-cash, which supports a constructive medium-term monitoring view.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.7.
What can break
Coverage is relatively thin and peer fit is loose, which raises the risk of sharper price moves around quarterly results and limits confidence in valuation read-throughs from comps.
Momentum
98
Value
48
Sentiment
31
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $61.00 · Bull $68.00 · Bear $48.00Analysis 2026-06-21; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-06-21 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-27
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $85.00
Why
Momentum98 · Δ7d +1.0
Value48 · Δ7d +0.7
Sentiment31 · Δ7d -0.8
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.7.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Coverage is relatively thin and peer fit is loose, which raises the risk of sharper price moves around quarterly results and limits confidence in valuation read-throughs from comps.
- • The June 11, 2026 8-K mainly reflected governance committee changes rather than an operating catalyst, so near-term upside still rests largely on earnings follow-through rather than on a new strategic announcement. [#8-K-2026-06-11]
- • Forward visibility is still only moderate because coverage is thin, the peer set is imperfect, and a meaningful part of the thesis depends on continued execution in NRS, BOSS Money and net2phone rather than on a broad telecom rerating.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-31
Q3 earnings release and raised FY2026 EBITDA outlook
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
98
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+1.0
Δ21d
+7.5
Value
48
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.7
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
31
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.8
Δ21d
-7.3
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 97.7 / Value 47.9 / Sentiment 30.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-06-21. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$61.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$48.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-27
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$2.14B
Beta
0.80
Shares Out
26.55M
P/E (TTM)
15.9
P/S (TTM)
1.03
P/FCF (TTM)
14.72
Rev YoY
+4.5%
EPS YoY
+1.0%
Gross Margin
+37.4%
Op Margin
+9.1%
Net Debt
-$367.17M
Current Ratio
1.90
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data