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ICE

Intercontinental ExchangeA
NYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Continued secular growth in data and clearing, plus successful mortgage-tech integration, drives multiple expansion and material upside to analyst highs.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-07.
What can break
Failed or delayed mortgage-technology integration
Momentum
65
Value
51
Sentiment
84
Setup hits (3d)
6 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $195.00 · Bull $245.70 · Bear $168.67Analysis 2026-02-10; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-10 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $186.29
Why
Momentum65 · Δ7d -8.6
Value51 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment84 · Δ7d +5.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-07.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.8.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Failed or delayed mortgage-technology integration
  • • Lower-than-expected trading/clearing volumes
  • • Slower trading volumes, missed mortgage-tech synergies, or regulatory/clearing setbacks compress multiples back toward recent lows.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-11

Quarterly earnings & guidance

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
65
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-8.6
Δ21d
+4.5
Value
51
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
84
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.8
Δ21d
-1.0
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 65.3 / Value 51.4 / Sentiment 84.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-10. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$245.70
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$195.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$168.67
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$86.63B
Beta
1.03
Shares Out
561.4M
P/E (TTM)
30.1
P/S (TTM)
7.54
P/FCF (TTM)
31.46
Rev YoY
+6.8%
EPS YoY
+14.4%
Gross Margin
+68.6%
Op Margin
+46.1%
Net Debt
$18.1B
Current Ratio
1.01
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data