B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$41.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
IBEX
IBEXCNasdaq / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The bull case is that Q3 confirmed sustained double-digit growth, a 17% revenue run rate, 100% client retention, and a raised FY26 guide; if Sierra AI converts into new logos and higher-value CX work, mix and margins can expand further [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-05-07].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -3.8.
What can break
AI partnership execution risk: early wins are encouraging, but monetization, pricing power, and retention benefits are not yet proven at scale.
Momentum
77
Value
66
Sentiment
46
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $34.00 · Bull $41.00 · Bear $24.00Analysis 2026-06-06; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-09-10 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-06-06 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $40.00
Why
Momentum77 · Δ7d -0.5
Value66 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment46 · Δ7d -3.8
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -3.8.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • AI partnership execution risk: early wins are encouraging, but monetization, pricing power, and retention benefits are not yet proven at scale.
- • Low-coverage risk: no clean analyst revision set is available in the packet, so the re-rating case is less validated than the operating print.
- • The bear case is that AI monetization is still early, capex is rising to support capacity, adjusted EBITDA margin slipped 40 bps y/y, and the nearshore-to-offshore transition can create temporary impairment and execution risk [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-05-07].
Catalyst clock
2026-05-06
Q3 FY26 beat and FY26 guide raise
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
77
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
+5.8
Value
66
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+0.5
Sentiment
46
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.8
Δ21d
-9.3
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 76.8 / Value 66.3 / Sentiment 46.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-06-06. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$34.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$24.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-09-10
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-09-10
Market Cap
$465.81M
Beta
0.64
Shares Out
13.39M
P/E (TTM)
13.4
P/S (TTM)
0.87
P/FCF (TTM)
16.10
Rev YoY
+16.8%
EPS YoY
+22.3%
Gross Margin
+26.9%
Op Margin
+9.5%
Net Debt
$54.41M
Current Ratio
1.95
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data