B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$21.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
IAG
IAMGOLDCNYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
IAMGOLD has a meaningful Côté-Gosselin resource-growth and expansion narrative: consolidated measured and indicated resources rose 12% to 20.3 million ounces, with a Q4 2026 technical report and mine-plan update as the next substantive milestone [#IR-2026-06-01].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-07.
What can break
Mineral resources that are not reserves do not have demonstrated economic viability, and inferred resources may not convert to reserves [#IR-2026-06-01].
Momentum
97
Value
72
Sentiment
45
Setup hits (3d)
9 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $16.00 · Bull $21.00 · Bear $11.50Analysis 2026-08-05; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-05 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $24.01
Why
Momentum97 · Δ7d -1.1
Value72 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment45 · Δ7d +0.4
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • 9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-07.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.4.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Mineral resources that are not reserves do not have demonstrated economic viability, and inferred resources may not convert to reserves [#IR-2026-06-01].
- • Peer candidates are mostly loose Materials-sector market-cap matches rather than direct gold-mining comparables, limiting relative-valuation confidence.
- • The immediate thesis remains execution-dependent.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-06
Q2 2026 results and conference call [#IR-2026-07-13]
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
97
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-1.1
Δ21d
+13.4
Value
72
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+6.7
Sentiment
45
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.4
Δ21d
-8.4
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 97.1 / Value 72.3 / Sentiment 45.4
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-05. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$16.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$11.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$10.89B
Beta
1.37
Shares Out
571M
P/E (TTM)
27.5
P/S (TTM)
4.34
P/FCF (TTM)
44.73
Rev YoY
+47.5%
EPS YoY
+191.5%
Gross Margin
+49.3%
Op Margin
+47.5%
Net Debt
$338.9M
Current Ratio
1.71
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data