B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$21.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
IAG
IAMGOLDANYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
IAMGOLD has a meaningful Côté-Gosselin resource-growth and expansion narrative: consolidated measured and indicated resources rose 12% to 20.3 million ounces, with a Q4 2026 technical report and mine-plan update as the next substantive milestone [#IR-2026-06-01].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.6.
What can break
Mineral resources that are not reserves do not have demonstrated economic viability, and inferred resources may not convert to reserves [#IR-2026-06-01].
Momentum
43
Value
72
Sentiment
55
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $16.00 · Bull $21.00 · Bear $11.50Analysis 2026-08-05; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-05 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $23.64
Why
Momentum43 · Δ7d -25.8
Value72 · Δ7d +0.6
Sentiment55 · Δ7d +11.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.6.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Mineral resources that are not reserves do not have demonstrated economic viability, and inferred resources may not convert to reserves [#IR-2026-06-01].
- • Peer candidates are mostly loose Materials-sector market-cap matches rather than direct gold-mining comparables, limiting relative-valuation confidence.
- • The immediate thesis remains execution-dependent.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-06
Q2 2026 results and conference call [#IR-2026-07-13]
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
43
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-25.8
Δ21d
-47.1
Value
72
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.6
Δ21d
+0.5
Sentiment
55
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+11.2
Δ21d
+8.0
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 43.1 / Value 72.4 / Sentiment 54.6
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-05. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$16.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$11.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$9.29B
Beta
1.37
Shares Out
571M
P/E (TTM)
27.5
P/S (TTM)
4.34
P/FCF (TTM)
44.73
Rev YoY
+47.5%
EPS YoY
+191.5%
Gross Margin
+49.3%
Op Margin
+47.5%
Net Debt
$338.9M
Current Ratio
1.71
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data