HXL

HexcelD

NYSE / Capital Goods

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

Bull case: sustained commercial aerospace recovery, successful program awards, and input-cost deflation drive margin expansion and top-line growth, pushing valuation toward the analyst high.

Posture

Defensive

Lead driver

Momentum

What changed

Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.

What can break

Delays, cancellations, or slower ramp of key program awards

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $77.82 · Bull $96.28 · Bear $52.15

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-01-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade D · Defensive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $101.85

Why

Momentum78 · Δ7d +0.1

Value49 · Δ7d -0.5

Sentiment20 · Δ7d -5.4

So what

Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

+0.1

Δ21d

+6.2

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.5

Δ21d

-1.2

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-5.4

Δ21d

-6.7

Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 78.0 / Value 49.4 / Sentiment 20.1

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$7.83B

Beta

1.05

Shares Out

75.43M

P/E (TTM)

90.3

P/S (TTM)

3.25

P/FCF (TTM)

43.34

Rev YoY

+8.5%

EPS YoY

+37.1%

Gross Margin

+22.3%

Op Margin

+6.4%

Net Debt

$947.7M

Current Ratio

2.45

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology