HWM
Howmet AerospaceCNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
At close
2026-07-21
Current thesis
The post-earnings bull case improved versus the prior neutral baseline because Howmet not only beat its Q1 guide but also raised full-year revenue, EBITDA, EPS, and free-cash-flow guidance while pointing to record aerospace backlogs, rising engine spares demand, and active gas-turbine markets.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.
What can break
CAM integration, financing, and execution risk could dilute the quality of the raised 2026 outlook if Fastening Systems margins or synergy capture slip.
Momentum
67
Value
46
Sentiment
48
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $285.00 · Bull $305.00 · Bear $240.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-21
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-21 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-21 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-21
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-21
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $316.42
Why
Momentum67 · Δ7d +3.9
Value46 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment48 · Δ7d -3.5
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
67
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.9
Δ21d
+9.8
Value
46
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.6
Sentiment
48
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.5
Δ21d
-5.3
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 66.7 / Value 46.3 / Sentiment 47.5
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-21
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-21
Market Cap
$111.63B
Beta
1.26
Shares Out
400.11M
P/E (TTM)
59.8
P/S (TTM)
10.73
P/FCF (TTM)
76.78
Rev YoY
+19.1%
EPS YoY
+70.8%
Gross Margin
+31.7%
Op Margin
+25.1%
Net Debt
$2.47B
Current Ratio
2.44
As of 2026-07-21 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology

