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HURC

Hurco CompaniesF
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The latest confirmed quarter showed better U.S. order momentum, a 5% overall order increase, and gross margin improvement to 19% of sales, while cash remained about $48.0m and working capital about $169.5m.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Foreign-exchange moves and regional weakness can distort reported sales and pressure margins, as seen in the latest quarter's declines in Europe and Asia Pacific. [#10-Q-2026-03-06]
Momentum
64
Value
46
Sentiment
31
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $17.20 · Bull $19.50 · Bear $14.20Analysis 2026-05-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum64 · Δ7d -
Value46 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment31 · Δ7d -
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Foreign-exchange moves and regional weakness can distort reported sales and pressure margins, as seen in the latest quarter's declines in Europe and Asia Pacific. [#10-Q-2026-03-06]
  • • Machine-tool demand is highly cyclical and the company says demand can change abruptly; backlog is short, limiting forward visibility. [#10-K-2026-01-09]
  • • Sales were still down 8% YoY, SG&A rose, and the company remained loss-making.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-29

U.S. orders improved, but sales still fell in the latest confirmed quarter

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
64
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
46
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.3
Sentiment
31
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade F. Momentum 64.5 / Value 46.0 / Sentiment 31.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-29. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$19.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$17.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$14.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$146.37M
Beta
0.66
Shares Out
6.48M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-9.7
P/S (TTM)
0.58
P/FCF (TTM)
11.31
Rev YoY
+16.5%
EPS YoY
-41.4%
Gross Margin
+20.4%
Op Margin
-3.9%
Net Debt
-$36.78M
Current Ratio
4.07
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data