B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$17.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
HUN
HuntsmanBNYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The bullish read is that Q1 absorbed a feedstock shock but still delivered flat revenue, modest EBITDA growth, volume improvement in Polyurethanes, double-digit Advanced Materials growth, improved free cash burn versus the prior year, and explicit management commentary pointing to better Q2 profitability from pricing and volume.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
What can break
Feedstock inflation and volatility, especially benzene and European natural gas, could erode the expected Q2 margin recovery.
Momentum
6
Value
43
Sentiment
85
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $14.00 · Bull $17.00 · Bear $10.00Analysis 2026-05-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $11.92
Why
Momentum6 · Δ7d -0.7
Value43 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment85 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Feedstock inflation and volatility, especially benzene and European natural gas, could erode the expected Q2 margin recovery.
- • Huntsman remained loss-making in Q1 and used $91 million of free cash flow, so a slower recovery could pressure sentiment despite roughly $0.9 billion of cash plus unused borrowing capacity.
- • The bearish read is that underlying profitability is still fragile: net loss widened sharply, gross profit fell, Polyurethanes margins compressed, Performance Products faced lower volumes and pricing plus Saudi disruptions, and the recovery case depends on management price increases sticking in a volatile macro and feedstock environment.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-31
Q2 execution must show pricing offsets feedstock and logistics pressure
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
6
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.7
Δ21d
-2.4
Value
43
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-13.2
Sentiment
85
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 6.0 / Value 43.0 / Sentiment 84.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-03. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$14.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$10.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.81B
Beta
0.70
Shares Out
175.38M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-6.5
P/S (TTM)
0.32
P/FCF (TTM)
75.94
Rev YoY
+14.1%
EPS YoY
-96.2%
Gross Margin
+13.5%
Op Margin
-0.1%
Net Debt
$1.97B
Current Ratio
1.33
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data