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HSY

HersheyB
NYSE / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 showed tangible recovery: net sales increased 6.6%, organic constant-currency sales increased 3.6%, and adjusted EPS increased 57%. Narrowed guidance toward the upper portion of prior ranges and planned productivity savings support further earnings normalization [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
What can break
Brand, merchandising and innovation investment may pressure near-term margins if demand response is weak.
Momentum
37
Value
51
Sentiment
65
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $190.00 · Bull $215.00 · Bear $145.00Analysis 2026-09-12; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-12 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $195.95
Why
Momentum37 · Δ7d -1.0
Value51 · Δ7d +0.3
Sentiment65 · Δ7d +1.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.8.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Brand, merchandising and innovation investment may pressure near-term margins if demand response is weak.
  • • CFO-transition execution risk, although no adverse strategic impact is established by the appointment filing.
  • • The outlook still requires continued pricing, productivity and operating execution in dynamic markets.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29 · BMO

CFO transition execution watch

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
37
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-1.0
Δ21d
-7.3
Value
51
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
65
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+1.8
Δ21d
-18.5
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 36.9 / Value 50.5 / Sentiment 65.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-12. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$215.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$190.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$145.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$34.09B
Beta
0.17
Shares Out
200.93M
P/E (TTM)
30.7
P/S (TTM)
3.18
P/FCF (TTM)
53.42
Rev YoY
+6.6%
EPS YoY
+476.1%
Gross Margin
+37.9%
Op Margin
+17.7%
Net Debt
$4.81B
Current Ratio
1.18
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data