RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

HSAI

Hesai GroupD
Nasdaq / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
Q2 shipments and profitability demonstrate operating scale, while Q3 revenue guidance and early robotics-module sales offer a route to broader growth [#IR-2026-08-18].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -5.6.
What can break
Kosmo and actuation revenue remain early-stage; disclosed orders and initial sales do not establish durable margins [#IR-2026-08-18].
Momentum
18
Value
43
Sentiment
48
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $12.50 · Bull $16.00 · Bear $8.50Analysis 2026-10-17; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $27.54
Why
Momentum18 · Δ7d -6.7
Value43 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment48 · Δ7d -5.6
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -5.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Kosmo and actuation revenue remain early-stage; disclosed orders and initial sales do not establish durable margins [#IR-2026-08-18].
  • • Lower average selling prices and lower-margin product mix may offset shipment growth [#IR-2026-08-18].
  • • Q2 gross margin and operating income declined year over year despite higher shipments; lower selling prices, product mix, and spending on new initiatives could limit earnings conversion [#IR-2026-08-18].

Catalyst clock

2027-01-15

Q3 revenue guidance test

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
18
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.7
Δ21d
-31.1
Value
43
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.3
Sentiment
48
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.6
Δ21d
-32.4
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 17.5 / Value 42.6 / Sentiment 47.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-17. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$16.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$12.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$8.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$2.16B
Beta
-
Shares Out
130.64M
P/E (TTM)
54.8
P/S (TTM)
9.34
P/FCF (TTM)
-
Rev YoY
+29.5%
EPS YoY
+47.1%
Gross Margin
+40.6%
Op Margin
+0.7%
Net Debt
-$538.04M
Current Ratio
5.37
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data