HPK

HighPeak EnergyC

Nasdaq / Energy

At close

2026-07-22

Current thesis

The bullish case is that March's reset was realistic rather than desperate: lower capex, heavier hedging, and dividend suspension could protect liquidity long enough for debt paydown and a modest rerating from distressed levels [#8-K-2026-03-11].

Posture

Mixed

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.

What can break

Debt load stays elevated longer than the market expects.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $5.60 · Bull $7.40 · Bear $4.10

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-22

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-22 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-22 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-04-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-22

Supporting evidence

What

Grade C · Mixed

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $8.00

Why

Momentum72 · Δ7d -10.1

Value55 · Δ7d -0.2

Sentiment36 · Δ7d -2.5

So what

Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

-10.1

Δ21d

-0.1

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.2

Δ21d

-0.3

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-2.5

Δ21d

-9.4

Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 71.8 / Value 55.4 / Sentiment 35.8

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-22

Market Cap

$1.01B

Beta

0.65

Shares Out

126.36M

P/E (TTM)

12.2

P/S (TTM)

0.62

P/FCF (TTM)

8.69

Rev YoY

-20.7%

EPS YoY

-494.6%

Gross Margin

+16.1%

Op Margin

+24.7%

Net Debt

$1.03B

Current Ratio

0.67

As of 2026-07-22 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology