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HNI

HNID
NYSE / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The post-earnings bull case is that HNI showed better-than-feared profit protection: Reuters/LSEG-republished coverage said Q1 adjusted EPS beat consensus while management kept a full-year framework of low-single-digit organic growth in both segments and mid-teens non-GAAP EPS growth, supported by synergies, cost control, pricing, and productivity.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.5.
What can break
GAAP results were burdened by $64.2 million of Steelcase purchase-accounting adjustments, $18.0 million of restructuring and impairment charges, and $3.5 million of acquisition costs, so integration noise remains material.
Momentum
89
Value
55
Sentiment
31
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $35.00 · Bull $42.00 · Bear $29.00Analysis 2026-05-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $69.80
Why
Momentum89 · Δ7d -0.5
Value55 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment31 · Δ7d +2.5
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • GAAP results were burdened by $64.2 million of Steelcase purchase-accounting adjustments, $18.0 million of restructuring and impairment charges, and $3.5 million of acquisition costs, so integration noise remains material.
  • • Residential strength is currently helping mix and margins, but management still expects second-quarter Residential Building Products sales to decline at a low-single-digit rate according to Reuters-republished earnings coverage.
  • • The bear case is that the quarter still showed a real top-line miss, weaker workplace demand tied to geopolitical and tariff-related uncertainty, GAAP losses from acquisition accounting and restructuring, and a setup that leans heavily on second-half improvement plus successful Steelcase execution.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-05

First-half demand reset after Q1 sales miss

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
89
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
-4.7
Value
55
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
+7.4
Sentiment
31
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.5
Δ21d
+0.8
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 88.8 / Value 54.7 / Sentiment 31.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$42.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$35.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$29.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$3.49B
Beta
0.93
Shares Out
72.18M
P/E (TTM)
14.3
P/S (TTM)
0.76
P/FCF (TTM)
15.51
Rev YoY
+120.7%
EPS YoY
-30.8%
Gross Margin
+40.0%
Op Margin
+5.6%
Net Debt
$1.38B
Current Ratio
1.36
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data