HLT
Hilton WorldwideDNYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
Current thesis
The cleanest post-earnings bull read is that Hilton paired better Q1 operating results with a higher full-year outlook, while pipeline size, net unit growth, and capital return still support a premium multiple. Deterministic priors also lean positive over 20-120 days, though only moderately.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.
What can break
Hilton had $12.5 billion of debt outstanding at March 31, 2026, which limits flexibility if travel demand weakens materially, even though no material maturities are due before April 2027.
Momentum
33
Value
43
Sentiment
48
Setup hits (3d)
— · Net —
AI TargetsBase $336.00 · Bull $355.00 · Bear $290.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-18
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net —
Target $353.04
Why
Momentum33 · Δ7d -20.4
Value43 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment48 · Δ7d +1.0
So what
Weak posture. Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
33
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-20.4
Δ21d
-31.7
Value
43
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+0.6
Sentiment
48
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+1.0
Δ21d
+1.7
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 32.8 / Value 43.4 / Sentiment 48.4
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$73.15B
Beta
1.13
Shares Out
227.65M
P/E (TTM)
41.4
P/S (TTM)
5.66
P/FCF (TTM)
30.88
Rev YoY
+9.0%
EPS YoY
+34.4%
Gross Margin
+27.4%
Op Margin
+8.4%
Net Debt
$12.24B
Current Ratio
0.61
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology