RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

HII

Huntington Ingalls IndustriesC
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
Q2 revenue rose 10.9% to $3.42 billion, operating margin improved to 6.1%, and backlog reached $57.3 billion. Higher shipbuilding guidance, the dated Truman overhaul award and CVN 79 preliminary acceptance support demand and execution visibility, though preliminary acceptance is not formal delivery.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
What can break
CVN 79 has reached preliminary acceptance, not formal delivery. HII, September 29
Momentum
39
Value
49
Sentiment
60
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $290.00 · Bull $335.00 · Bear $225.00Analysis 2026-10-02; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $355.64
Why
Momentum39 · Δ7d -3.3
Value49 · Δ7d -0.3
Sentiment60 · Δ7d -0.8
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.8.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • CVN 79 has reached preliminary acceptance, not formal delivery. HII, September 29
  • • Q2 free cash flow was negative $150 million; HII reaffirmed rather than raised its FY26 free-cash-flow outlook. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
  • • Q2 free cash flow was negative $150 million despite stronger earnings.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29 · BMO

Truman carrier-overhaul contract awarded

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
39
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.3
Δ21d
+1.1
Value
49
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
-1.1
Sentiment
60
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.8
Δ21d
-10.1
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 39.3 / Value 48.9 / Sentiment 59.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-02. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$335.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$290.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$225.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$10.8B
Beta
0.34
Shares Out
39.4M
P/E (TTM)
25.1
P/S (TTM)
1.19
P/FCF (TTM)
41.46
Rev YoY
+10.9%
EPS YoY
+36.5%
Gross Margin
+12.4%
Op Margin
+4.9%
Net Debt
$2.21B
Current Ratio
1.23
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data