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HII

Huntington Ingalls IndustriesB
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Strong customer demand, $57.3 billion backlog, double-digit shipbuilding growth, and raised FY26 revenue and margin expectations support upside if throughput improvements convert into deliveries and cash flow. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.1.
What can break
Failure to achieve the targeted 15% shipbuilding throughput improvement.
Momentum
36
Value
49
Sentiment
81
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $320.00 · Bull $370.00 · Bear $275.00Analysis 2026-08-20; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-20 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $368.73
Why
Momentum36 · Δ7d -28.0
Value49 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment81 · Δ7d +9.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Failure to achieve the targeted 15% shipbuilding throughput improvement.
  • • Negative free cash flow and uncertain timing of cash conversion.
  • • Negative Q2 free cash flow, continued shipbuilding execution requirements, and delivery or margin slippage could offset the favorable backlog and demand profile.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-30

Q2 results and guidance raise

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
36
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-28.0
Δ21d
-22.7
Value
49
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-10.6
Sentiment
81
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.1
Δ21d
+4.8
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 35.9 / Value 49.0 / Sentiment 81.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-20. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$370.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$320.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$275.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$12.54B
Beta
0.34
Shares Out
39.4M
P/E (TTM)
25.1
P/S (TTM)
1.19
P/FCF (TTM)
41.46
Rev YoY
+10.9%
EPS YoY
+36.5%
Gross Margin
+12.4%
Op Margin
+4.9%
Net Debt
$2.21B
Current Ratio
1.23
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data