HGV
Hilton Grand VacationsCNYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
At close
2026-07-22
Current thesis
The post-earnings setup improved versus the prior baseline because the company delivered a sharp year-over-year profit rebound, raised full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance, and continued large buybacks. Third-party post-print coverage checked in this run also indicated the quarter beat pre-release expectations, and a May 1, 2026 StreetInsider snippet showed Barclays raising its target to $51 from $48, which is directionally supportive even if broad revision breadth is still unclear.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.5.
What can break
Contract sales were down $2 million year over year to $719 million, so the earnings beat was not driven by a clean top-line acceleration in core contract sales [#8-K-2026-04-30].
Momentum
54
Value
57
Sentiment
44
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $49.00 · Bull $54.00 · Bear $39.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-22
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-22 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-22 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-22
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-22
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $57.56
Why
Momentum54 · Δ7d -4.1
Value57 · Δ7d -0.5
Sentiment44 · Δ7d -0.6
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
54
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.1
Δ21d
-18.6
Value
57
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
-1.0
Sentiment
44
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.6
Δ21d
+4.1
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 54.2 / Value 56.6 / Sentiment 44.0
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-22
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-22
Market Cap
$3.87B
Beta
1.48
Shares Out
78.52M
P/E (TTM)
78.9
P/S (TTM)
0.77
P/FCF (TTM)
50.17
Rev YoY
+11.9%
EPS YoY
-543.0%
Gross Margin
+56.8%
Op Margin
+8.5%
Net Debt
$6.78B
Current Ratio
4.33
As of 2026-07-22 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology

