B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$2.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
HFFG
HF Foods GroupBNasdaq / Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Record Q2 revenue, six consecutive quarters of year-over-year revenue growth, improved GAAP net income, planned expansion into Canada, and termination of the ATM program support a cautiously positive path if margins stabilize and Searay closes successfully.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Gross margin fell to 17.0% from 17.5% while adjusted EBITDA declined 2.0% year over year despite higher revenue [#SEC-8K-2026-08-10].
Momentum
92
Value
48
Sentiment
66
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $1.65 · Bull $2.20 · Bear $1.00Analysis 2026-09-22; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-22 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-27
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $5.67
Why
Momentum92 · Δ7d -
Value48 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment66 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Gross margin fell to 17.0% from 17.5% while adjusted EBITDA declined 2.0% year over year despite higher revenue [#SEC-8K-2026-08-10].
- • Low coverage, a sub-$100 million market capitalization, and loose peer comparability increase liquidity and valuation uncertainty.
- • Gross profit was essentially flat despite revenue growth, gross margin contracted, and adjusted EBITDA declined.
Catalyst clock
2026-09-24
ATM program termination
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
92
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
48
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+0.6
Sentiment
66
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 92.3 / Value 48.3 / Sentiment 65.5
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-22. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$1.65
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$1.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-27
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$78.7M
Beta
0.43
Shares Out
53.9M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-2.0
P/S (TTM)
0.10
P/FCF (TTM)
7.17
Rev YoY
+2.8%
EPS YoY
+110.1%
Gross Margin
+14.2%
Op Margin
+0.5%
Net Debt
$213.98M
Current Ratio
1.11
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data