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HEI

HEICOA
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The earnings print strengthens the operating case: both segments posted record sales and operating income, organic growth remained strong, margins expanded, cash flow improved, and net debt to EBITDA declined to 1.57x. Management also expects continued demand and acquisition contributions through FY26.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +11.3.
What can break
Acquisition integration, approvals, or expected operating synergies may disappoint.
Momentum
48
Value
49
Sentiment
86
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $380.00 · Bull $430.00 · Bear $285.00Analysis 2026-08-28; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-28 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $402.11
Why
Momentum48 · Δ7d -14.4
Value49 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment86 · Δ7d +11.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +11.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Acquisition integration, approvals, or expected operating synergies may disappoint.
  • • Analyst consensus breadth, detailed estimate revisions, and the exact post-print reaction window remain limited or inconsistent.
  • • The first-session reaction was negative despite the earnings beat, implying that strong execution may already be reflected in expectations.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-25

Record Q3 FY26 results and earnings beat

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
48
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-14.4
Δ21d
-26.5
Value
49
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
86
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+11.3
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 48.2 / Value 48.6 / Sentiment 85.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-28. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$430.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$380.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$285.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$43.37B
Beta
1.01
Shares Out
139.74M
P/E (TTM)
69.7
P/S (TTM)
9.20
P/FCF (TTM)
49.72
Rev YoY
+25.3%
EPS YoY
+48.6%
Gross Margin
+42.8%
Op Margin
+23.2%
Net Debt
$2.09B
Current Ratio
2.92
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data