B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$488.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
HD
Home DepotBNYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Resilient comps, stronger pro demand, inventory discipline, and continued buybacks drive multiple expansion toward analyst highs.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.3.
What can break
Inventory or execution failures during peak seasons
Momentum
47
Value
50
Sentiment
76
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $402.14 · Bull $488.25 · Bear $320.00Analysis 2026-01-23; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-23 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $379.07
Why
Momentum47 · Δ7d -10.2
Value50 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment76 · Δ7d +9.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.3.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Inventory or execution failures during peak seasons
- • Macro shock or higher rates depressing retail traffic
- • Prolonged DIY weakness, margin pressure from cost inflation, or weaker guidance forces multiple compression toward lower analyst estimates.
Catalyst clock
2026-04-23
Quarterly results and guidance
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
47
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-10.2
Δ21d
+8.5
Value
50
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.7
Sentiment
76
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.3
Δ21d
+11.6
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 47.2 / Value 49.8 / Sentiment 75.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-23. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$402.14
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$320.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$336.91B
Beta
1.08
Shares Out
997.12M
P/E (TTM)
23.5
P/S (TTM)
2.06
P/FCF (TTM)
70.94
Rev YoY
+5.7%
EPS YoY
+4.6%
Gross Margin
+31.2%
Op Margin
+12.4%
Net Debt
$63.96B
Current Ratio
1.08
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data