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HCSG

Healthcare Services GroupA
Nasdaq / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q3 EPS of $0.36 exceeded the $0.24 estimate reported by StreetInsider, while HCSG's Q4 guide and raised 2027 growth outlook point to faster revenue growth. Dietary margin reached 8.7%, versus 7.5% in Q2.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
1 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-27.
What can break
Labor, insurance-claim, materials and supply costs may outpace contract pricing, reversing Q3's favorable 83.2% cost-of-services ratio. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-21] Q3 earnings exhibit
Momentum
59
Value
61
Sentiment
67
Setup hits (3d)
1 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $27.00 · Bull $31.00 · Bear $19.00Analysis 2026-10-26; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $26.67
Why
Momentum59 · Δ7d +12.2
Value61 · Δ7d -2.6
Sentiment67 · Δ7d -4.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 1 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-27.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -4.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Labor, insurance-claim, materials and supply costs may outpace contract pricing, reversing Q3's favorable 83.2% cost-of-services ratio. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-21] Q3 earnings exhibit
  • • NEXDINE integration and the raised 2027 growth outlook add execution risk after a substantial post-earnings share-price rise. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-21] Q3 earnings exhibit
  • • Revenue of $479.6 million was slightly below StreetInsider's $480.8 million consensus.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-30

Post-earnings estimate revisions versus unchanged target

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
59
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+12.2
Δ21d
+13.2
Value
61
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.6
Δ21d
-3.0
Sentiment
67
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.2
Δ21d
-12.0
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 59.3 / Value 61.2 / Sentiment 66.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-26. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$31.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$27.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$19.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$1.64B
Beta
0.76
Shares Out
67.43M
P/E (TTM)
33.4
P/S (TTM)
0.70
P/FCF (TTM)
8.06
Rev YoY
+2.7%
EPS YoY
-173.4%
Gross Margin
+18.1%
Op Margin
+6.5%
Net Debt
-$188.88M
Current Ratio
3.02
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data