HCC

Warrior Met CoalD

NYSE / Materials

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

Sustained met‑coal price rally, robust cash conversion and continued buybacks/dividends drive re‑rating toward analyst highs.

Posture

Defensive

Lead driver

Sentiment

What changed

Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.5.

What can break

Analyst downgrades driving short-term selling pressure

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $92.88 · Bull $120.00 · Bear $72.72

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-02-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade D · Defensive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $103.43

Why

Momentum23 · Δ7d +11.8

Value41 · Δ7d -0.1

Sentiment63 · Δ7d -2.5

So what

Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+11.8

Δ21d

-40.2

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.1

Δ21d

-0.1

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-2.5

Δ21d

+1.5

Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 22.8 / Value 40.9 / Sentiment 62.6

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$4.17B

Beta

0.65

Shares Out

52.8M

P/E (TTM)

134.7

P/S (TTM)

3.86

P/FCF (TTM) · Derived

-18.62

Rev YoY

+53.8%

EPS YoY

-980.6%

Gross Margin

+14.9%

Op Margin

+0.6%

Net Debt

-$82.28M

Current Ratio

3.48

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology