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HCC

Warrior Met CoalB
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Sustained met‑coal price rally, robust cash conversion and continued buybacks/dividends drive re‑rating toward analyst highs.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-04 · AMC.
What can break
Analyst downgrades driving short-term selling pressure
Momentum
46
Value
47
Sentiment
70
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $92.88 · Bull $120.00 · Bear $72.72Analysis 2026-02-14; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-11-04 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $109.14
Why
Momentum46 · Δ7d -16.8
Value47 · Δ7d -0.4
Sentiment70 · Δ7d -3.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-04 · AMC.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -3.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst downgrades driving short-term selling pressure
  • • Operational disruptions or cost inflation at key mines
  • • Weaker steel demand, collapsing met‑coal prices or rising costs compress margins and capital returns, driving valuation toward the analyst low.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-04 · AMC

Analyst target revisions and coverage updates

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
46
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-16.8
Δ21d
+19.3
Value
47
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
+0.3
Sentiment
70
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.3
Δ21d
+1.2
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 46.5 / Value 47.0 / Sentiment 70.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-14. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$120.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$92.88
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$72.72
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$4.61B
Beta
0.65
Shares Out
52.8M
P/E (TTM)
134.7
P/S (TTM)
3.86
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-72.51
Rev YoY
+70.6%
EPS YoY
+1451.2%
Gross Margin
+18.0%
Op Margin
+13.6%
Net Debt
-$82.28M
Current Ratio
3.93
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data