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HAIN

Hain Celestial GroupD
Nasdaq / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
An International sale and lender extension could preserve an equity claim on a more focused North American business. Q4 North American organic growth and margin improvement offer operating support, but only if financing is resolved.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.
What can break
Any creditor-led restructuring may substantially dilute or eliminate existing common equity.
Momentum
26
Value
65
Sentiment
22
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $0.10 · Bull $0.45 · Bear $0.01Analysis 2026-10-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $1.43
Why
Momentum26 · Δ7d -
Value65 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment22 · Δ7d -
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Any creditor-led restructuring may substantially dilute or eliminate existing common equity.
  • • Approximately $558 million of debt matures December 22, 2026; the annual filing reports insufficient liquidity and substantial going-concern doubt. [#10-K-2026-09-14] Annual filing
  • • The missed sale condition, insufficient liquidity and December debt maturity create severe dilution or near-total-loss risk for common holders.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-22

International sale and lender agreement

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
26
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
65
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+1.0
Sentiment
22
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 26.3 / Value 65.4 / Sentiment 22.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-24. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
15%
Probability
Target price
$0.45
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B
Base case
25%
Probability
Target price
$0.10
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B-
Bear case
60%
Probability
Target price
$0.01
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$13.29M
Beta
0.61
Shares Out
91M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-0.0
P/S (TTM)
0.07
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
0.32
Rev YoY
-13.3%
EPS YoY
-21.6%
Gross Margin
+19.3%
Op Margin
+2.2%
Net Debt
$724.87M
Current Ratio
0.52
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data