B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$215.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
H
Hyatt HotelsANYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Hyatt's asset-light model is showing operating traction through fee growth, pipeline expansion, maintained EBITDA guidance, and resilient luxury, leisure, and group demand. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.6.
What can break
All-inclusive Net Package RevPAR declined 1.2%, with Mexico demand and airlift still pressured.
Momentum
25
Value
42
Sentiment
87
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $195.00 · Bull $215.00 · Bear $150.00Analysis 2026-08-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $197.61
Why
Momentum25 · Δ7d -3.1
Value42 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment87 · Δ7d +8.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.6.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • All-inclusive Net Package RevPAR declined 1.2%, with Mexico demand and airlift still pressured.
- • Late-year opening delays could reduce rooms growth and defer fee realization.
- • The follow-up is mixed: all-inclusive Net Package RevPAR declined 1.2%, Mexico and Jamaica remain headwinds, and late-year opening timing reduced rooms-growth visibility.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-30
Q2 results sustained fee-growth outlook
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
25
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.1
Δ21d
-0.7
Value
42
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+1.4
Sentiment
87
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.6
Δ21d
+16.7
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 24.6 / Value 42.5 / Sentiment 87.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-04. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$195.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$150.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$17.14B
Beta
1.27
Shares Out
94.36M
P/E (TTM)
34.7
P/S (TTM)
2.25
P/FCF (TTM)
154.68
Rev YoY
+2.6%
EPS YoY
-3722.9%
Gross Margin
+15.8%
Op Margin
+7.5%
Net Debt
$3.74B
Current Ratio
0.62
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data