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GWW

W.W GraingerC
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 beat and raised FY2026 ranges provide concrete operating support for the positive thesis, with double-digit growth across both segments, improved operating margin, and continued shareholder returns. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.6.
What can break
Analyst response is constructive but mixed, with several target increases alongside an RBC target reduction and a Hold consensus. Source: https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/gww/forecast/
Momentum
83
Value
49
Sentiment
51
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $1,292.00 · Bull $1,450.00 · Bear $1,100.00Analysis 2026-08-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $1,323.23
Why
Momentum83 · Δ7d +17.2
Value49 · Δ7d -0.6
Sentiment51 · Δ7d -3.2
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst response is constructive but mixed, with several target increases alongside an RBC target reduction and a Hold consensus. Source: https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/gww/forecast/
  • • Demand momentum remains exposed to geopolitical uncertainty and industrial end-market variability.
  • • The Q2 margin outcome benefited from tariff refunds, while freight, product-cost, mix, and private-label pressures could make second-half earnings growth less profitable.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-04

Q2 beat and FY26 outlook raised

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
83
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+17.2
Δ21d
+20.3
Value
49
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.6
Δ21d
-2.2
Sentiment
51
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-3.2
Δ21d
-15.1
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 83.0 / Value 49.1 / Sentiment 50.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-07. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$1,450.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$1,292.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$1,100.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$63.58B
Beta
1.11
Shares Out
47.1M
P/E (TTM)
28.3
P/S (TTM)
2.72
P/FCF (TTM)
62.36
Rev YoY
+10.3%
EPS YoY
+20.5%
Gross Margin
+39.4%
Op Margin
+15.6%
Net Debt
$2.28B
Current Ratio
2.81
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data