B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$31.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
GTY
Getty RealtyCNYSE / Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q3 AFFO rose to $0.64 from $0.62, and base rental income grew 13.8% year over year as acquisitions and contractual rent increases outweighed dispositions. Successful lease commencements could support per-share growth.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Acquisition and development timing depends on counterparties; the committed pipeline is not yet earned rent. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-21]
Momentum
23
Value
63
Sentiment
46
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $27.00 · Bull $31.00 · Bear $22.50Analysis 2026-10-22; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-22 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $34.75
Why
Momentum23 · Δ7d -2.2
Value63 · Δ7d -
Sentiment46 · Δ7d -17.1
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Acquisition and development timing depends on counterparties; the committed pipeline is not yet earned rent. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-21]
- • Getty says changes in environmental estimates can make period-to-period environmental expense comparisons unreliable. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-21]
- • The guidance increase was just $0.01 at the low end, while Q3 FFO per share declined year over year.
Catalyst clock
2026-10-22
Q3 earnings reaction and narrow guidance increase
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
23
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-2.2
Δ21d
-6.5
Value
63
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Sentiment
46
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-17.1
Δ21d
-30.4
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 23.2 / Value 63.4 / Sentiment 46.4
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-22. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$27.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$22.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$1.73B
Beta
0.86
Shares Out
61.93M
P/E (TTM)
21.8
P/S (TTM)
7.51
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
71.71
Rev YoY
+10.9%
EPS YoY
+50.2%
Gross Margin
+70.0%
Op Margin
+61.6%
Net Debt
$1.01B
Current Ratio
1.48
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data