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GTLB

GitlabA
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 beat, raised FY2027 outlook, 117% dollar-based net retention, 20% cRPO growth, and more than 40% net ARR growth support a constructive medium-term view. AI products and GitLab Flex provide additional monetization pathways.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
What can break
Competition, seat contraction, restructuring, and country exits could pressure retention, sales execution, or near-term margins. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-28]
Momentum
98
Value
44
Sentiment
78
Setup hits (3d)
2 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $54.74 · Bull $62.00 · Bear $40.00Analysis 2026-09-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $55.09
Why
Momentum98 · Δ7d -0.5
Value44 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment78 · Δ7d +26.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +26.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Competition, seat contraction, restructuring, and country exits could pressure retention, sales execution, or near-term margins. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-28]
  • • GAAP operating margin was negative 20% and GAAP gross margin fell four percentage points year over year. [#SEC-8K-2026-09-01]
  • • The post-earnings rerating raises the bar for continued acceleration.

Catalyst clock

2026-06-02

Restructuring and seat-pressure risk

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
98
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
+5.3
Value
44
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
78
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+26.2
Δ21d
+56.7
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 98.0 / Value 43.7 / Sentiment 78.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$62.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$54.74
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$40.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$6.84B
Beta
0.76
Shares Out
168.9M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-120.8
P/S (TTM)
6.97
P/FCF (TTM)
26.07
Rev YoY
+23.1%
EPS YoY
-86.6%
Gross Margin
+86.8%
Op Margin
-4.5%
Net Debt
-$1.26B
Current Ratio
2.49
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data