B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$75.56
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
GRC
Gorman-RuppDNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Bull: Strong OEM orders, resilient aftermarket demand, and stable margins drive outsized revenue growth and push the stock above the analyst high; acquisition or favorable capital allocation could further re-rate shares.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.6.
What can break
Distributor/dealer inventory destocking reducing shipments
Momentum
49
Value
58
Sentiment
41
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $59.13 · Bull $75.56 · Bear $49.28Analysis 2026-02-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $80.67
Why
Momentum49 · Δ7d -10.7
Value58 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment41 · Δ7d +2.6
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.6.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Distributor/dealer inventory destocking reducing shipments
- • Earnings/backlog misses versus analyst expectations
- • Bear: Weaker industrial capex and margin pressure from pricing or input-costs compress earnings and push the stock toward the low scenario; analyst consensus is clustered near lower levels, reflecting downside risk.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-09
Quarterly earnings / guidance update
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
49
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-10.7
Δ21d
-4.8
Value
58
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+1.9
Sentiment
41
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.6
Δ21d
+6.5
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 49.4 / Value 57.8 / Sentiment 41.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$59.13
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$49.28
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.13B
Beta
1.30
Shares Out
26.41M
P/E (TTM)
25.8
P/S (TTM)
1.92
P/FCF (TTM)
20.16
Rev YoY
+3.9%
EPS YoY
+22.5%
Gross Margin
+29.7%
Op Margin
+14.8%
Net Debt
$292.45M
Current Ratio
2.81
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data