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GRC

Gorman-RuppD
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull: Strong OEM orders, resilient aftermarket demand, and stable margins drive outsized revenue growth and push the stock above the analyst high; acquisition or favorable capital allocation could further re-rate shares.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.6.
What can break
Distributor/dealer inventory destocking reducing shipments
Momentum
66
Value
56
Sentiment
37
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $59.13 · Bull $75.56 · Bear $49.28Analysis 2026-02-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $81.50
Why
Momentum66 · Δ7d +5.3
Value56 · Δ7d -0.6
Sentiment37 · Δ7d -1.2
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Distributor/dealer inventory destocking reducing shipments
  • • Earnings/backlog misses versus analyst expectations
  • • Bear: Weaker industrial capex and margin pressure from pricing or input-costs compress earnings and push the stock toward the low scenario; analyst consensus is clustered near lower levels, reflecting downside risk.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-09

Quarterly earnings / guidance update

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
66
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+5.3
Δ21d
+5.1
Value
56
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.6
Δ21d
-0.2
Sentiment
37
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.2
Δ21d
-1.6
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 65.6 / Value 56.2 / Sentiment 37.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$75.56
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$59.13
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$49.28
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$1.95B
Beta
1.30
Shares Out
26.41M
P/E (TTM)
25.8
P/S (TTM)
1.92
P/FCF (TTM)
20.16
Rev YoY
+3.9%
EPS YoY
+22.5%
Gross Margin
+29.7%
Op Margin
+14.8%
Net Debt
$292.45M
Current Ratio
2.81
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data