GRBK

Green Brick PartnersB

NYSE / Consumer Durables & Apparel

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

Accelerating absorption, easing mortgage rates, and sustained G&A leverage drive margin expansion and a multiple re-rating. Market-share gains and efficient lot rotation lift EPS above consensus, supporting upside toward the bull scenario.

Posture

Constructive

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.2.

What can break

Construction cost or labor inflation compressing margins

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

— · Net —

AI TargetsBase $71.00 · Bull $95.00 · Bear $62.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-02-26 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade B · Constructive

Confidence Medium · Net —

Target $67.00

Why

Momentum55 · Δ7d -14.1

Value65 · Δ7d +0.2

Sentiment47 · Δ7d -2.1

So what

Strength-led posture. Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Setup hits not loaded

Load setup hits to see net bias and recent triggers.

Load setup hits

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-14.1

Δ21d

-30.6

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.2

Δ21d

+1.4

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-2.1

Δ21d

+7.4

Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 55.1 / Value 64.7 / Sentiment 47.1

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$3.14B

Beta

1.99

Shares Out

43.14M

P/E (TTM)

8.3

P/S (TTM)

1.31

P/FCF (TTM)

17.87

Rev YoY

-4.9%

EPS YoY

-16.8%

Gross Margin

+30.7%

Op Margin

+20.8%

Net Debt

$137.93M

Current Ratio

9.03

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology