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GPN

Global PaymentsB
NYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 adjusted net revenue was $3.16 billion, up approximately 4% on management's normalized basis; adjusted EPS rose 12% to $3.46. Margin expansion, Worldpay integration and the stated capital-return plan offer a path to improved confidence if FY2026 targets hold.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-24.
What can break
Downward estimate revisions reported in stored secondary coverage and limited dated analyst-target data weaken confirmation of a rerating.
Momentum
66
Value
57
Sentiment
56
Setup hits (3d)
2 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $85.00 · Bull $102.00 · Bear $65.00Analysis 2026-10-02; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $104.69
Why
Momentum66 · Δ7d +5.7
Value57 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment56 · Δ7d +2.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-24.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Downward estimate revisions reported in stored secondary coverage and limited dated analyst-target data weaken confirmation of a rerating.
  • • Genius demonstrations and Worldpay integration may not translate into measurable merchant growth or the targeted FY2026 margin expansion. [#PR-2026-08-24] [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
  • • The official release cited travel weakness and set FY2026 adjusted net revenue growth at approximately 4%–5% and adjusted EPS at $13.60–$13.80.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

FY2026 revenue outlook and travel exposure

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
66
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.7
Δ21d
+3.1
Value
57
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
56
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+2.1
Δ21d
-16.4
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 65.9 / Value 56.6 / Sentiment 56.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-02. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$102.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$85.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$65.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$21.92B
Beta
0.77
Shares Out
264.62M
P/E (TTM)
12.4
P/S (TTM)
2.05
P/FCF (TTM)
6.95
Rev YoY
+68.6%
EPS YoY
-57.1%
Gross Margin
+63.9%
Op Margin
+20.6%
Net Debt
$13.46B
Current Ratio
0.82
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data