B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$140.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
GPC
Genuine PartsDNYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The Q2 print showed solid sales growth, adjusted EPS of $2.15 versus the packet's $2.10 consensus context, Industrial margin expansion, improved first-half free cash flow, and $2.3 billion of liquidity. The planned Q1 2027 separation could provide a longer-term catalyst.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.9.
What can break
Analyst estimate revisions and broader target changes remain limited.
Momentum
90
Value
49
Sentiment
46
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $123.00 · Bull $140.00 · Bear $104.00Analysis 2026-07-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $140.38
Why
Momentum90 · Δ7d -1.0
Value49 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment46 · Δ7d +5.9
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.9.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Analyst estimate revisions and broader target changes remain limited.
- • Execution risk remains around the planned Q1 2027 separation.
- • The market reaction was negative despite the adjusted EPS beat, reflecting the lower GAAP EPS outlook and ongoing restructuring/separation costs.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-21
Q2 earnings beat tempered by lower GAAP EPS outlook
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
90
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.0
Δ21d
+10.0
Value
49
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+1.9
Sentiment
46
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.9
Δ21d
+0.2
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 89.6 / Value 48.8 / Sentiment 46.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-24. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$123.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$104.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$18.27B
Beta
0.74
Shares Out
137.86M
P/E (TTM)
21.3
P/S (TTM)
0.71
P/FCF (TTM)
133.07
Rev YoY
+6.0%
EPS YoY
-9.9%
Gross Margin
+34.6%
Op Margin
+4.9%
Net Debt
$6.45B
Current Ratio
1.16
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data