B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$13.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
GOOD
Gladstone CommercialCNasdaq / Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The company exited Q1 with very high occupancy, full rent collection through April, continued monthly distributions, and explicit plans to recycle capital out of non-core assets into industrial growth markets, which supports a steady-income REIT frame rather than a distressed one.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.8.
What can break
Analyst coverage is thin, so delayed revision support after earnings may remain limited and price discovery can stay noisy.
Momentum
73
Value
63
Sentiment
46
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $12.30 · Bull $13.50 · Bear $10.90Analysis 2026-05-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $14.36
Why
Momentum73 · Δ7d +3.3
Value63 · Δ7d -1.9
Sentiment46 · Δ7d +3.8
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.8.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Analyst coverage is thin, so delayed revision support after earnings may remain limited and price discovery can stay noisy.
- • Occupancy drift from 99.1% to 98.7% and remaining vacant space keep leasing execution in focus.
- • The earnings print was still mixed: revenue declined 3.6% sequentially, Core FFO per share declined 5.4% sequentially, leased square footage slipped to 98.7% from 99.1%, and management still flagged inflation, rates, and macro uncertainty.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-05
Post-earnings operating stability but no clear reacceleration
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
73
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+3.3
Δ21d
+5.5
Value
63
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.9
Δ21d
-1.9
Sentiment
46
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.8
Δ21d
+1.1
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 73.0 / Value 63.1 / Sentiment 46.4
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$12.30
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$10.90
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$632.66M
Beta
1.11
Shares Out
48.74M
P/E (TTM)
58.5
P/S (TTM)
3.84
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-39.54
Rev YoY
+11.3%
EPS YoY
+235.8%
Gross Margin
+43.5%
Op Margin
+39.0%
Net Debt
$828.32M
Current Ratio
1.63
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data