B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$13.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
GOOD
Gladstone CommercialBNasdaq / Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The company exited Q1 with very high occupancy, full rent collection through April, continued monthly distributions, and explicit plans to recycle capital out of non-core assets into industrial growth markets, which supports a steady-income REIT frame rather than a distressed one.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-03 · AMC.
What can break
Analyst coverage is thin, so delayed revision support after earnings may remain limited and price discovery can stay noisy.
Momentum
48
Value
65
Sentiment
60
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $12.30 · Bull $13.50 · Bear $10.90Analysis 2026-05-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-11-03 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-29 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-28
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $14.36
Why
Momentum48 · Δ7d -13.9
Value65 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment60 · Δ7d +1.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-03 · AMC.
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Analyst coverage is thin, so delayed revision support after earnings may remain limited and price discovery can stay noisy.
- • Occupancy drift from 99.1% to 98.7% and remaining vacant space keep leasing execution in focus.
- • The earnings print was still mixed: revenue declined 3.6% sequentially, Core FFO per share declined 5.4% sequentially, leased square footage slipped to 98.7% from 99.1%, and management still flagged inflation, rates, and macro uncertainty.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-03 · AMC
Post-earnings operating stability but no clear reacceleration
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
48
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-13.9
Δ21d
-21.0
Value
65
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Sentiment
60
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.9
Δ21d
+2.3
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 48.1 / Value 65.0 / Sentiment 59.7
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$12.30
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$10.90
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-29
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-29
Market Cap
$557.05M
Beta
1.11
Shares Out
48.74M
P/E (TTM)
58.5
P/S (TTM)
3.84
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-34.81
Rev YoY
+11.3%
EPS YoY
+235.8%
Gross Margin
+43.5%
Op Margin
+39.0%
Net Debt
$828.32M
Current Ratio
1.63
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data