B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$26.47
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
GME
GameStopDNYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Bull case assumes successful execution of e‑commerce, higher-margin digital sales, and sustained retail demand that pushes valuation toward the upper analyst band; episodic retail-driven rallies could also lift price above the anchor.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.0.
What can break
Concentrated analyst coverage with low consensus targets [#SERP-1]
Momentum
21
Value
62
Sentiment
44
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $16.22 · Bull $26.47 · Bear $11.50Analysis 2026-01-28; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-28 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $11.00
Why
Momentum21 · Δ7d +6.1
Value62 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment44 · Δ7d +5.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Concentrated analyst coverage with low consensus targets [#SERP-1]
- • Execution risk scaling digital/e‑commerce initiatives [#SERP-5]
- • Bear case assumes continued secular pressure on physical game retail, weak margins, and analyst downgrades that push consensus toward the low end of the range.
Catalyst clock
2026-04-28
Q4 2025 earnings release and management guidance
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
21
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.1
Δ21d
+12.7
Value
62
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+6.0
Sentiment
44
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.0
Δ21d
-4.1
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 21.1 / Value 61.8 / Sentiment 44.4
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-28. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$16.22
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$11.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$8.26B
Beta
2.01
Shares Out
448.69M
P/E (TTM)
25.2
P/S (TTM)
2.44
P/FCF (TTM)
154.20
Rev YoY
+14.0%
EPS YoY
+630.9%
Gross Margin
+34.4%
Op Margin
+10.7%
Net Debt
-$4.66B
Current Ratio
12.40
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data