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GM

General MotorsC
NYSE / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Execution on EV ramp, faster Ultium cost declines, and stronger-than-expected margin recovery drive shares toward the top of the analyst range; favorable capital allocation and buybacks amplify upside.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
News driver: GM stock falls despite Q3 beat, $20B buyback.
What can break
EV execution delays or lower-than-expected Ultium margin improvements
Momentum
67
Value
48
Sentiment
53
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $87.00 · Bull $115.50 · Bear $48.00Analysis 2026-01-28; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-28 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $102.77
Why
Momentum67 · Δ7d -7.4
Value48 · Δ7d +0.6
Sentiment53 · Δ7d +9.5
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • News driver: GM stock falls despite Q3 beat, $20B buyback.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • EV execution delays or lower-than-expected Ultium margin improvements
  • • Macroeconomic slowdown reducing vehicle demand
  • • Slower EV adoption, margin pressure from commodity/capex, or disappointed guidance could re-rate shares toward the low end of analyst targets, particularly if consensus downgrades accelerate.

Catalyst clock

2026-04-28

Q4/FY2025 Earnings and Guidance Release

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
67
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-7.4
Δ21d
+10.0
Value
48
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.6
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
53
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.5
Δ21d
-6.9
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 66.6 / Value 47.7 / Sentiment 53.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-28. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$115.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$87.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$48.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$64.37B
Beta
1.36
Shares Out
843.55M
P/E (TTM)
16.7
P/S (TTM)
0.41
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-120.99
Rev YoY
+1.9%
EPS YoY
-26.0%
Gross Margin
+5.7%
Op Margin
+1.0%
Net Debt
$101B
Current Ratio
1.14
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data