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GLXY

Galaxy DigitalD
Nasdaq / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The operating mix is improving: Digital Assets adjusted gross profit increased sequentially despite weaker crypto prices, while Helios began generating revenue and has contracted CoreWeave capacity. The Q3 leasing ramp could improve earnings visibility if delivery, financing, and counterparty execution hold.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -9.7.
What can break
Analyst estimate revisions, target changes, and reliable consensus surprise data were unavailable.
Momentum
77
Value
40
Sentiment
48
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $20.00 · Bull $28.00 · Bear $14.00Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $40.63
Why
Momentum77 · Δ7d +56.2
Value40 · Δ7d +0.6
Sentiment48 · Δ7d -9.7
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -9.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst estimate revisions, target changes, and reliable consensus surprise data were unavailable.
  • • Chief Accounting Officer Robert Rico is scheduled to depart on September 30, 2026, and a permanent replacement was not identified in the supplied filing context.
  • • The Q2 loss, negative adjusted EBITDA, treasury losses, digital-asset sensitivity, substantial data-center capital needs, leverage, ERCOT and construction dependencies, and CAO transition leave the thesis exposed to execution and market volatility.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-05

Q2 2026 earnings reset expectations

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
77
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+56.2
Δ21d
+72.7
Value
40
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.6
Δ21d
+0.9
Sentiment
48
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.7
Δ21d
-28.8
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 76.6 / Value 39.6 / Sentiment 48.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$28.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$20.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$14.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$8.55B
Beta
3.85
Shares Out
190.69M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-84.1
P/S (TTM)
0.21
P/FCF (TTM)
140.40
Rev YoY
-73.2%
EPS YoY
-191.7%
Gross Margin
+61.2%
Op Margin
+29.7%
Net Debt
-$1.33B
Current Ratio
1.50
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data