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GLRE

Greenlight Capital ReB
Nasdaq / Insurance
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
At the $14.50 anchor, shares trade at roughly 0.70 times the $20.61 fully diluted book value reported for June 30. A recovery in investment returns and stable reserves could narrow that discount.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-02 · AMC.
What can break
Catastrophe-related reserve uncertainty and potential adverse development after Q2's 100.1% combined ratio. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
Momentum
29
Value
62
Sentiment
60
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $15.50 · Bull $19.00 · Bear $11.50Analysis 2026-10-01; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-11-02 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-01 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum29 · Δ7d +1.0
Value62 · Δ7d +0.4
Sentiment60 · Δ7d +2.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-02 · AMC.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Catastrophe-related reserve uncertainty and potential adverse development after Q2's 100.1% combined ratio. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
  • • Recent director and officer open-market sales warrant monitoring but do not establish an operating deterioration. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-09-29] [#SEC-FORM4-2026-09-18]
  • • Q2's investment loss and catastrophe-driven underwriting deterioration show why the book-value discount may persist.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-02 · AMC

Reserve development and investment recovery at the next results

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
29
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+1.0
Δ21d
-6.1
Value
62
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.4
Δ21d
+0.6
Sentiment
60
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.9
Δ21d
-7.2
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 29.0 / Value 62.1 / Sentiment 60.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-01. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$19.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$15.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$11.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$484.4M
Beta
0.55
Shares Out
32.64M
P/E (TTM)
11.3
P/S (TTM)
0.80
P/FCF (TTM)
3.52
Rev YoY
-9.0%
EPS YoY
+21.5%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+7.4%
Net Debt
-$636.33M
Current Ratio
1.30
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data