B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$36.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
GIII
G-III Apparel GroupBNasdaq / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Fiscal Q2 earnings exceeded company guidance, go-forward portfolio sales grew at a high-single-digit rate, and pricing and owned-brand mix lifted gross margin. Sustained gains could support earnings despite lower total sales [#SEC-8K-2026-09-02].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.3.
What can break
Fiscal 2027 non-GAAP EPS guidance of $2.20–$2.30 is below fiscal 2026 non-GAAP EPS of $2.61 despite a higher GAAP EPS outlook [#SEC-8K-2026-09-02].
Momentum
33
Value
71
Sentiment
54
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $30.00 · Bull $36.00 · Bear $22.00Analysis 2026-10-17; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $34.75
Why
Momentum33 · Δ7d +7.2
Value71 · Δ7d -0.3
Sentiment54 · Δ7d -5.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.3.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Fiscal 2027 non-GAAP EPS guidance of $2.20–$2.30 is below fiscal 2026 non-GAAP EPS of $2.61 despite a higher GAAP EPS outlook [#SEC-8K-2026-09-02].
- • Guidance assumes tariff rates for the rest of the year approximate current rates [#SEC-8K-2026-09-02].
- • Fiscal Q2 sales declined 10%; fiscal 2027 guidance incorporates approximately $460 million of lost Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger sales and excludes Marc Jacobs.
Catalyst clock
2026-12-15
Fiscal Q3 results and Marc Jacobs guidance
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
33
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.2
Δ21d
+16.5
Value
71
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
54
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.4
Δ21d
-19.0
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 33.1 / Value 70.6 / Sentiment 54.1
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-17. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$30.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$22.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$1.28B
Beta
1.31
Shares Out
42.88M
P/E (TTM)
8.9
P/S (TTM)
0.41
P/FCF (TTM)
3.35
Rev YoY
-8.2%
EPS YoY
+776.4%
Gross Margin
+42.5%
Op Margin
+8.0%
Net Debt
-$121.96M
Current Ratio
3.18
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data