B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$38.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
GIII
G-III Apparel GroupANasdaq / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The post-earnings setup improved: adjusted EPS exceeded guidance, gross margin expanded sharply, the go-forward portfolio grew high single digits, inventory declined 13%, and Marc Jacobs adds a potentially meaningful owned-brand growth platform [#SEC-8K-2026-09-02][#EARNINGS-TRANSCRIPT-2027Q2].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
2 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-08.
What can break
Adjusted EBITDA guidance was lowered, and analyst-revision breadth remains limited.
Momentum
23
Value
70
Sentiment
83
Setup hits (3d)
2 · Net Bearish
AI TargetsBase $32.00 · Bull $38.00 · Bear $22.00Analysis 2026-09-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-08
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bearish
Target $37.33
Why
Momentum23 · Δ7d -18.6
Value70 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment83 · Δ7d +27.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bearish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • 2 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-08.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +27.2.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Adjusted EBITDA guidance was lowered, and analyst-revision breadth remains limited.
- • European macro softness, selective consumers, weather, and shipping delays could pressure demand and timing.
- • Revenue fell roughly 10% year over year, Europe remains soft, licensed-brand exits continue to reduce sales, and adjusted EBITDA guidance was lowered despite the EPS increase.
Catalyst clock
2026-09-08
Q2 beat and higher FY2027 EPS outlook
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
23
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-18.6
Δ21d
-29.6
Value
70
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.4
Sentiment
83
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+27.2
Δ21d
+25.2
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 22.7 / Value 69.8 / Sentiment 82.6
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$32.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$22.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.42B
Beta
1.31
Shares Out
42.19M
P/E (TTM)
8.9
P/S (TTM)
0.41
P/FCF (TTM)
3.35
Rev YoY
-8.2%
EPS YoY
+776.4%
Gross Margin
+42.5%
Op Margin
+8.0%
Net Debt
-$121.96M
Current Ratio
3.18
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data