B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$175.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
GH
Guardant HealthFNasdaq / Health Care Equipment & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Successful scaling of commercial tests and favorable reimbursement lifts revenue and margins toward analyst highs.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.6.
What can break
Adverse reimbursement decisions limiting commercial uptake
Momentum
78
Value
37
Sentiment
27
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $113.84 · Bull $175.00 · Bear $55.00Analysis 2026-02-20; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-20 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $199.44
Why
Momentum78 · Δ7d +1.3
Value37 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment27 · Δ7d +5.6
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.6.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Adverse reimbursement decisions limiting commercial uptake
- • Disappointing clinical readouts or regulatory delays
- • Slow adoption, reimbursement setbacks, or negative readouts drive repeated guidance cuts and push valuation toward analyst lows.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-21
Next quarterly results / revenue update
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
78
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.3
Δ21d
-10.5
Value
37
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
27
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.6
Δ21d
+1.7
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 78.2 / Value 36.6 / Sentiment 26.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-20. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$113.84
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$55.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$21.7B
Beta
1.64
Shares Out
134.2M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-48.7
P/S (TTM)
14.54
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-91.91
Rev YoY
+44.3%
EPS YoY
+12.3%
Gross Margin
+65.0%
Op Margin
-39.7%
Net Debt
$508.54M
Current Ratio
4.03
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data