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GFI

Gold FieldsB
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q1 production momentum, Salares Norte contribution, strong cash generation, lower net debt and announced buybacks support a constructive view if full-year guidance is delivered. Windfall and Tarkwa provide longer-duration portfolio upside.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.3.
What can break
Elevated sustaining and all-in costs from royalties, inflation, currencies, capital expenditure and consumables.
Momentum
27
Value
60
Sentiment
60
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $37.00 · Bull $45.00 · Bear $27.00Analysis 2026-08-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $47.80
Why
Momentum27 · Δ7d -3.4
Value60 · Δ7d +0.3
Sentiment60 · Δ7d +9.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Elevated sustaining and all-in costs from royalties, inflation, currencies, capital expenditure and consumables.
  • • No analyst revision, consensus-surprise or post-print price-attribution data was available in the packet.
  • • Higher AISC and AIC, royalties, producer-currency effects, inflation and softer starts at several mines could pressure margins.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-25

H1 2026 results checkpoint

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
27
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.4
Δ21d
-29.5
Value
60
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
+0.0
Sentiment
60
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.5
Δ21d
-3.8
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 27.1 / Value 59.8 / Sentiment 59.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$45.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$37.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$27.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$31.31B
Beta
1.53
Shares Out
886.66M
P/E (TTM)
21.5
P/S (TTM)
6.13
P/FCF (TTM)
32.77
Rev YoY
+63.7%
EPS YoY
+163.7%
Gross Margin
+54.2%
Op Margin
+48.5%
Net Debt
$1.44B
Current Ratio
1.75
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data