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GFI

Gold FieldsC
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q1 production momentum, Salares Norte contribution, strong cash generation, lower net debt and announced buybacks support a constructive view if full-year guidance is delivered. Windfall and Tarkwa provide longer-duration portfolio upside.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
12 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Elevated sustaining and all-in costs from royalties, inflation, currencies, capital expenditure and consumables.
Momentum
95
Value
57
Sentiment
48
Setup hits (3d)
12 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $37.00 · Bull $45.00 · Bear $27.00Analysis 2026-08-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $51.11
Why
Momentum95 · Δ7d -1.1
Value57 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment48 · Δ7d -2.2
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 12 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Elevated sustaining and all-in costs from royalties, inflation, currencies, capital expenditure and consumables.
  • • No analyst revision, consensus-surprise or post-print price-attribution data was available in the packet.
  • • Higher AISC and AIC, royalties, producer-currency effects, inflation and softer starts at several mines could pressure margins.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-25

H1 2026 results checkpoint

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
95
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.1
Δ21d
+28.1
Value
57
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.2
Sentiment
48
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.2
Δ21d
-6.7
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 95.1 / Value 57.1 / Sentiment 48.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$45.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$37.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$27.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$37.19B
Beta
1.53
Shares Out
895.02M
P/E (TTM)
21.5
P/S (TTM)
6.13
P/FCF (TTM)
32.77
Rev YoY
+63.7%
EPS YoY
+163.7%
Gross Margin
+54.2%
Op Margin
+48.5%
Net Debt
$1.44B
Current Ratio
1.75
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data