RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

GENC

Gencor IndustriesA
NYSE American / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
Fiscal Q3 revenue increased to $33.8 million from $27.0 million, operating margin reached 17.2%, and backlog tripled year over year. Conversion of that backlog could strengthen earnings and cash generation.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.2.
What can break
Backlog may convert later or at lower margins than the June quarter suggests.
Momentum
81
Value
72
Sentiment
57
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $17.50 · Bull $22.00 · Bear $13.00Analysis 2026-10-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $21.00
Why
Momentum81 · Δ7d -3.7
Value72 · Δ7d +0.2
Sentiment57 · Δ7d -0.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Backlog may convert later or at lower margins than the June quarter suggests.
  • • Material weaknesses in financial-reporting controls remained unremediated as of June 30. [#10-Q-2026-08-10]
  • • Nine-month revenue and earnings remained below the prior year, operating cash flow was modest relative to reported earnings, and control weaknesses were not yet remediated.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-15

Backlog conversion at fiscal year-end

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
81
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.7
Δ21d
-4.2
Value
72
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
57
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
-9.1
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 81.2 / Value 71.6 / Sentiment 56.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-24. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$22.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$17.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$13.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$252.11M
Beta
0.51
Shares Out
14.66M
P/E (TTM)
12.3
P/S (TTM)
1.67
P/FCF (TTM)
174.17
Rev YoY
+25.3%
EPS YoY
+48.4%
Gross Margin
+28.6%
Op Margin
+11.7%
Net Debt
-$135.96M
Current Ratio
19.16
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data