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GDYN

Grid DynamicsC
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Primary-source evidence supports a cautious positive operating read: Q1 revenue beat management's own range, AI revenue reached 29.3% of sales, partnership-influenced revenue reached 19.1%, and management guided to sequential Q2 growth with full-year 2026 revenue of $435.0-$465.0 million [#8-K-2026-04-30].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.5.
What can break
Gross margin compressed year over year and the quarter swung to a GAAP net loss despite modest revenue growth [#8-K-2026-04-30].
Momentum
76
Value
59
Sentiment
57
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $7.40 · Bull $10.50 · Bear $5.20Analysis 2026-05-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $9.20
Why
Momentum76 · Δ7d -14.7
Value59 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment57 · Δ7d +2.5
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Gross margin compressed year over year and the quarter swung to a GAAP net loss despite modest revenue growth [#8-K-2026-04-30].
  • • Low sell-side coverage and limited revision visibility raise the chance that the stock remains a monitoring story until another clean quarter confirms the AI-led growth and margin path.
  • • The same release also showed margin pressure and weaker earnings quality: GAAP gross margin fell to 34.8% from 36.8%, the company posted a GAAP net loss of $1.5 million, non-GAAP EBITDA declined to $12.5 million from $14.6 million, and cash fell to $327.5 million from $342.1 million at year-end [#8-K-2026-04-30] [#10-Q-2026-04-30].

Catalyst clock

2026-07-30

AI mix and GAIN platform traction need another clean checkpoint

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
76
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-14.7
Δ21d
-13.4
Value
59
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-1.5
Sentiment
57
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.5
Δ21d
+1.3
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 76.3 / Value 58.6 / Sentiment 57.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-07. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$10.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$7.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$5.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$608.45M
Beta
0.82
Shares Out
81.13M
P/E (TTM)
59.3
P/S (TTM)
1.96
P/FCF (TTM)
33.68
Rev YoY
+7.0%
EPS YoY
-43.6%
Gross Margin
+34.7%
Op Margin
+1.1%
Net Debt
-$325.02M
Current Ratio
7.22
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data