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GD

General DynamicsA
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q1 operating momentum, strong orders, 2.0x book-to-bill, backlog, and cash conversion provide a credible positive setup if the July 29 report confirms execution. The deterministic prior is directionally positive.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
What can break
Execution, margin, cash-flow, backlog conversion, and program-timing risks remain unresolved until the earnings release and call.
Momentum
60
Value
60
Sentiment
78
Setup hits (3d)
6 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $400.00 · Bull $430.00 · Bear $345.00Analysis 2026-07-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $425.15
Why
Momentum60 · Δ7d -15.4
Value60 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment78 · Δ7d +11.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +11.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Execution, margin, cash-flow, backlog conversion, and program-timing risks remain unresolved until the earnings release and call.
  • • No verified Q2 revenue/EPS surprise, guidance revision, analyst target change, estimate revision, or post-release price reaction is available.
  • • The earnings event has not occurred, and the packet lacks verified Q2 surprise, guidance, analyst revisions, or market-reaction data.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-29

Second-quarter 2026 earnings checkpoint

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
60
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-15.4
Δ21d
-5.7
Value
60
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+1.0
Sentiment
78
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+11.5
Δ21d
+15.2
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 60.0 / Value 59.7 / Sentiment 77.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-24. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$430.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$400.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$345.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$105.83B
Beta
0.41
Shares Out
270.56M
P/E (TTM)
23.1
P/S (TTM)
1.86
P/FCF (TTM)
29.79
Rev YoY
+8.1%
EPS YoY
+13.3%
Gross Margin
+15.4%
Op Margin
+10.3%
Net Debt
$7.46B
Current Ratio
1.44
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data