GBTG
Global Business Travel GroupCNYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
At close
2026-07-22
Current thesis
The signed $9.50 cash acquisition creates a visible valuation ceiling but also a near-term floor, and the Q1 release showed healthy commercial metrics, including 96% retention and $3.4 billion of LTM new wins value, which support the board’s decision to sell from a position of operating strength.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Momentum
What changed
Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.0.
What can break
Integration and restructuring execution remains active after the CWT and Uvet transactions, with elevated restructuring charges and ongoing synergy capture still affecting comparability.
Momentum
79
Value
48
Sentiment
41
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $9.40 · Bull $9.50 · Bear $6.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-22
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-22 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-22 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-22
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-22
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $9.50
Why
Momentum79 · Δ7d +3.0
Value48 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment41 · Δ7d -0.5
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals
Momentum
79
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+3.0
Δ21d
-17.6
Value
48
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.3
Sentiment
41
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
-1.9
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 78.8 / Value 48.0 / Sentiment 41.4
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-22
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-22
Market Cap
$4.92B
Beta
0.73
Shares Out
522.37M
P/E (TTM)
369.7
P/S (TTM)
1.68
P/FCF (TTM)
34.07
Rev YoY
+35.3%
EPS YoY
-36.1%
Gross Margin
+51.8%
Op Margin
+5.1%
Net Debt
$1.07B
Current Ratio
1.18
As of 2026-07-22 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology